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Stocks on correction watch as pressure builds on global banks

North American markets look headed for a lower open today, as cautious investors doubled down on safer assets amid increasing concerns of a sustained slowdown in global economic growth.

LONDON – A finish by bank shares kept European shares pressurized , after losses in Asian markets sent investors scurrying for safe havens.

After a choppy morning, the pan-European FTSEurofirst 300 flattened out, having touched its lowest levels since October 2014 noisy . trade. It remained near its Monday close, the lowest since 2013.
North American futures indicate an inferior open.

There might be a high chance of an additional correction in equity prices, led by banking and stocks

Bank stocks reversed early gains, leaving the STOXX Europe 600 bank sector down 6 % up to now now. Shares in many Italian banks were suspended from trading after dropping sharply. Other growth-sensitive sectors, for example basic resources, also received pressure.

In all, world stocks fell 0.4 %, although S&P 500 e-mini futures were flat.

The look for shelter pushed inside the Japanese yen, long considered a safe-haven asset, and drove the yield on Japan’s benchmark government bond into negative territory the very first time ever.

Many investors believed that warning signs of stress trying to find credit default swaps pointed to help declines ahead.

“There can be a high chance of yet another correction in equity prices, led by banking and stocks. There could be a wave of defaults inside the energy sector that will damage the amount sheet in the banking sector,” said Lorne Baring, md of B Capital Wealth Management. Slowing global growth was clouding the outlook further, he added.

“We are advising our investors to drastically reduce risk making protection.”
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However, there’s been some warning signs of stabilization. Deutsche Bank rose 1.4 percent after sinking 9.5 percent on Monday. Late Monday, the German bank said hello has “sufficient” reserves to produce payments due this season on AT1 securities, after concern had mounted about to be able to maintain bond payments.

Strategists at Goldman Sachs said banks had enough liquidity which recent capital hikes should prevent a fiscal crisis re-run.

On Tuesday, Asian shares saw the largest losses, tracking the declines in European and U.S. shares on Monday. Japanese Finance Minister Taro Aso warned the yen’s rise was “rough,” something in the understatement since the Nikkei nosedived 5.4 percent.

MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 1.One percent. Australian shares hit several 1/2-year closing low and could happen to be lower otherwise for holidays in several centers.

All of which enhances the stakes for U.S. Fed Chair Janet Yellen when she gives her semi-annual testimony before Congress now.

“She must seem optimistic without getting too hawkish and cautious without having to be negative,” said Jo Masters, a senior economist at ANZ. “Hawkishness or dovishness could easily exacerbate the current sell-off, tightening financial conditions further.”

U.S. oil rose 2.7 percent to US$30.49 and Brent crude rose 1.5 %. Copper edged higher in quiet trade, with top consumer China on holiday. Gold benefited from the risk-off sentiment and reached a seven-month high, then edged lower as stocks stabilized and looked set to complete a seven-day winning run.

MURMURS OF RECESSION

The Bank of Japan’s recent shift to negative rates has raised concern that exotic monetary policy is reaching the objective of diminishing returns. But discuss a possible recession in the united states has additionally led to speculation the government Reserve will have to slow or suspend offers to normalize rates.

That has pulled 10-year Treasury yields for his or her lowest since early 2015 and weakened the U.S. dollar, which touched a six-week trough within the Swiss franc because the euro hit a two-week lower in the franc. Against a container of currencies, the dollar edged down 0.One percent to at 96.494.

While the euro was flat in the dollar, bets on volatility ahead for euro-dollar fx rates surged with a two-month lots of 11 percent, as traders bet a little more about the dollar. That flipped most derivatives pricing towards a weaker euro over the next couple of months.

By the far the biggest mover was the yen, long considered a secure haven given Japan’s position as the world’s top creditor nation. The dollar dived under 114.22 yen previously mentioned 121 a week ago. The euro fell around 1 % to 128.24 yen.

The yield on Japan’s benchmark 10-year government bond touched minus 0.010 percent because the Nikkei stock index tumbled. It had been the very first time a G7 nation’s 10-year government bond yield reached minus numbers, although yields on German bunds came close.

Southern European bond yields retracted from multi-month highs , showing some signs of stabilization every day after concerns about global growth and also the health of Europe’s banks triggered heavy selling.

Such concerns also have seen one market rating long-term eurozone inflation expectations fall using a record low.

? Thomson Reuters 2016

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